Fundamentals

The end of the QE threshold for Fed. We should pay more attention to the non-U.S. market

Wednesday, Jan 30, 2013

Tuesday Market Review: Overnight the Dow Jones and S&P index brokeout to a new high point, rose 0.52% and 0.51% respectively, while the Nasdaq index fell 0.02%. In commodities, the overall performance was strong yesterday, crude oil rose increasingly, gold stood firmly around $1660, easing the short-term downtrend. In currencies, non-US currencies were overall up, while the yen is still weak and the euro had a new breakthrough.

Posted By: 

Chen Jingquan

Chen is a popular Forex Analyst in China. He setup his own financial consulting firm back in 2005 and started writing financial reports and analytical papers for various Chinese financial websites in 2007. He became a famous forex analyst in 2008 and a frequent guest in various forex seminars and interviews, including exclusive interviews held by CCTV finance channel, Hexun.com, Sina Finance, Sohui Finance and EastMoney.com
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EUR/USD: 1.3500 Level

Tuesday, Jan 29, 2013


Good Afternoon,

Well, we made it through 1500. We topped out at 1508. I have eyed a "blast" through 1500 and maybe the 1510-1515 area as a place that the markets get "tired". The next area would be the "psychological" area of 1525.

I talked earlier about the EUR/USD and the "relationship" between the strength in the EUR and the equity markets. The equity markets had a good day and the EUR had a good day against the USD.

Posted By: 

Brian Kahn

Brian provides regular commentary focusing on the relationships between various financial markets. An experienced trader and portfolio manager with over 15 years in the markets, Brian relies on fundamental and technical analysis to create trading plans for each and every market entry.

What’s up with the pound sterling?

Tuesday, Jan 29, 2013

The pound sterling’s support has deteriorated as it has become a (very) unloved currency. There’s so much negativity on the pair right now any long position against anything but the yen is difficult to want to hold.

The trend on the British pound has organized into a “four to six o’clock” 34EMA Wave angle. Technically, the consistent red GRaB candles and the move lower through the 200DMA just adds more negativity to the bearish fundamentals that just keep piling up.

Posted By: 

Raghee Horner

Raghee Horner, chief currency analyst for IBFX, provides her personal daily trading tips and insights through Dailyforextradingedge.com. An experienced trader with over fifteen years in the markets, Raghee is the co-founder of EZ2Trade Software and has taught her brand of technical analysis and charting strategies to students all over the world. She is an international author and has taught currencies, futures, and equities trading for over a decade.
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EUR/USD: Overbought?

Tuesday, Jan 29, 2013

Good Morning,

Posted By: 

Brian Kahn

Brian provides regular commentary focusing on the relationships between various financial markets. An experienced trader and portfolio manager with over 15 years in the markets, Brian relies on fundamental and technical analysis to create trading plans for each and every market entry.

Interest rate discussion for non-farm market, commodities currencies continue to go down

Monday, Jan 28, 2013

Last week market review: On Friday, the three big U.S. stocks indices rose again. In commodities, the dollar maintained its strength; while precious metals continued their downtrend, crude oil maintain in order. In currencies, the Euro broke-through the 1.34 mark, commodity currencies and yen remain weak.

Posted By: 

Chen Jingquan

Chen is a popular Forex Analyst in China. He setup his own financial consulting firm back in 2005 and started writing financial reports and analytical papers for various Chinese financial websites in 2007. He became a famous forex analyst in 2008 and a frequent guest in various forex seminars and interviews, including exclusive interviews held by CCTV finance channel, Hexun.com, Sina Finance, Sohui Finance and EastMoney.com
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EUR/USD: Ready For A Breakout?

Tuesday, Jan 24, 2012


Good Afternoon,

Fundamentals continue to improve. We had another better than expected weekly claims number. Next week's unemployment report should print pretty close to the 200k number. By next week, equities could be at new all time highs with they way the confidence the bulls are showing!

Posted By: 

Brian Kahn

Brian provides regular commentary focusing on the relationships between various financial markets. An experienced trader and portfolio manager with over 15 years in the markets, Brian relies on fundamental and technical analysis to create trading plans for each and every market entry.

USD/JPY: Possible Head and Shoulders?

Wednesday, Jan 23, 2013

Good Afternoon,

Quiet fundamentals aside from earnings. Speaking of earnings, we are about to get AAPL's earnings. Check out the small bounce off the trendline. I talked about this in the "AAPL Breakdown" post last week. But now what. Will this descending triangle act as new resistance? A perfect place for AAPL to be overbought again. But as you know, with earnings, it can be a crapshoot and you need to take extra market volatility into account.

Posted By: 

Brian Kahn

Brian provides regular commentary focusing on the relationships between various financial markets. An experienced trader and portfolio manager with over 15 years in the markets, Brian relies on fundamental and technical analysis to create trading plans for each and every market entry.

More Central Bank Delays: The BOC Joins the Party.

Wednesday, Jan 23, 2013

With just a few words about the expected 2013 rates hikes, “less imminent than anticipated” and the 2% inflation target being reached mid-2014 and not this years (as expected) and crude oil has now headed into its seasonal maintenance thus dropping refiners’ demand for crude oil. Commodities have also been in a holding pattern as a vote pending in Congress would suspend the “debt ceiling” until May 18.

Posted By: 

Raghee Horner

Raghee Horner, chief currency analyst for IBFX, provides her personal daily trading tips and insights through Dailyforextradingedge.com. An experienced trader with over fifteen years in the markets, Raghee is the co-founder of EZ2Trade Software and has taught her brand of technical analysis and charting strategies to students all over the world. She is an international author and has taught currencies, futures, and equities trading for over a decade.

AUD/USD: Trendline Analysis II

Sunday, Jan 22, 2012

Good Evening,

Here we are. Just below 1500. Only 5% off new all-time highs! So, will 1500 provide resistance? Will 1525, 1550 and then the old highs at 1575 provide resistance?

Posted By: 

Brian Kahn

Brian provides regular commentary focusing on the relationships between various financial markets. An experienced trader and portfolio manager with over 15 years in the markets, Brian relies on fundamental and technical analysis to create trading plans for each and every market entry.

The Bank of Japan pressured to ease monetary policy again

Tuesday, Jan 22, 2013

Monday review: U.S. stocks closed yesterday and the market is quiet due to the lack of guidelines. Commodities; precious metals and crude oil rose slightly. In currencies, the risk of currency remains volatile and the pound was down again.

U.S. Congress will determine to vote again on Wednesday about the debt ceiling and the expiration date will be on May 19, 2013. If the bill passes on Wednesday, the market will face a decline in risk in the late February and the expected hedging for the outbreak situation will change.

Posted By: 

Chen Jingquan

Chen is a popular Forex Analyst in China. He setup his own financial consulting firm back in 2005 and started writing financial reports and analytical papers for various Chinese financial websites in 2007. He became a famous forex analyst in 2008 and a frequent guest in various forex seminars and interviews, including exclusive interviews held by CCTV finance channel, Hexun.com, Sina Finance, Sohui Finance and EastMoney.com
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